Weather Update: IMD Forecasts Cyclonic Activity, Heavy Rainfall, and Dense Fog Across Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab & More

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its weather forecast for the coming week, predicting significant changes across the country. From cyclonic activity over the Bay of Bengal to heavy rainfall in the south and dense fog in the north, the weather will be dynamic. Below is a detailed overview of the expected weather across India. 

Weather Systems in Focus

A cyclonic circulation is expected to form over the South Andaman Sea around 21st November. It is likely to move west-northwestwards, becoming a low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal by 23rd November and intensifying into a depression over the southwest Bay of Bengal in the following two days. In addition, other cyclonic circulations are active in the Comorin area, persisting in the lower tropospheric levels, and over the southeast Arabian Sea, which is influencing the weather along the Kerala coast.

Rainfall Forecast and Warnings (21th–26th November)

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a rainfall forecast and associated warnings for the period between 21th and 26th November 2024. Several regions across India are expected to experience varying rainfall intensities, with some areas facing isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall. Thunderstorms, lightning, and dense fog are also likely to accompany these weather patterns, especially in the southern, eastern, and northern parts of the country. Below are the detailed rainfall predictions and warnings for the upcoming week.

Dense Fog Alerts

Dense fog conditions are expected to prevail in several northern and central regions of India over the coming days, significantly reducing visibility. The India Meteorological Department has issued alerts for areas including East Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, and Himachal Pradesh, advising caution.

Temperature Trends

India is witnessing a mix of temperature trends this week, with notable variations across regions., with Bihar seeing warmer nights and Odisha experiencing cooler ones. Punjab recorded the lowest at 7.3°C, signaling winter's onset, while stable temperatures are expected nationwide in the coming days.

Forecast:

• No significant change in minimum temperatures expected over most regions for the next five days.

Delhi/NCR Weather Analysis (21th–23rd November)

Delhi and the NCR region are set to experience predominantly clear skies over the next few days, accompanied by shallow to moderate fog during the mornings and evenings. While temperatures remain in a comfortable range, smog is likely to persist due to calm wind conditions during the nights. Visibility disruptions and air quality concerns are expected, especially during early morning hours.

• Recent Trends:

• Maximum temperatures: 23–25°C, slightly below normal.

• Minimum temperatures: 8–12°C, near normal.

• Visibility: Shallow fog in the mornings, with Palam airport recording 500–600m visibility on 19th November.

• Predicted Weather:

Residents in coastal and southern regions should stay vigilant as heavy rainfall is expected, while dense fog in northern states may disrupt visibility, requiring caution for travelers. Most areas will experience stable temperatures with minimal changes. Stay updated with real-time alerts and take necessary precautions during adverse weather conditions