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Southwest Monsoon Retreats Further; Heavy Rain Likely in Odisha, Bengal, Northeast, Says IMD

IMD forecasts gradual southwest monsoon withdrawal from north and west India, with isolated heavy rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds expected across eastern, southern, and northeastern states. Delhi to see clear skies and above-normal temperatures.

KJ Staff
South India will experience scattered rainfall and thunderstorms, along with strong surface winds in coastal areas (Photo Source: Canva)
South India will experience scattered rainfall and thunderstorms, along with strong surface winds in coastal areas (Photo Source: Canva)

India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued an update on the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon and the prevailing weather systems across India. While the monsoon is gradually retreating from northern and western states, active weather systems are bringing localized rainfall, thunderstorms, and strong winds in various regions over the next week.

Southwest Monsoon Withdrawal Progress

The southwest monsoon is slowly retreating from northern and western India. As of 20th September, the withdrawal line passes through Bhatinda, Fatehabad, Pilani, Ajmer, Deesa and Bhuj. Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal from parts of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu & Kashmir in the next 2–3 days.

Weather Systems Driving Current Conditions

Several upper air cyclonic circulations and troughs are influencing India’s weather:

  • Cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea & Myanmar coast, moving north-northwest and likely reaching the north Bay of Bengal by 22nd September.

  • Fresh low-pressure area expected off Myanmar-Bangladesh coast around 25th September.

  • Upper air circulations over northwest Uttar Pradesh, northeast Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and northeast Assam are causing isolated rainfall and thunderstorms.

These systems are leading to light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, gusty winds, and isolated heavy showers in many parts of India.

East & Central India Weather Forecast

East and central regions will see scattered rainfall and thunderstorms over the coming week. Gusty winds up to 40 kmph are also expected in some areas.

Region

Dates

Weather Pattern

Southwest Madhya Pradesh

21 Sep

Light to moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim

21 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Bihar

21 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Andaman & Nicobar Islands

21, 23, 24 Sep

Rain/thunderstorms

Gangetic West Bengal

22–23 Sep

Rainfall expected

Chhattisgarh

24–26 Sep

Light/moderate rain

Vidarbha

25–26 Sep

Scattered rainfall

Odisha

23–26 Sep

Rain/thunderstorm

 

Northeast India Weather Outlook

Northeast India will experience light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy showers. Regions like Assam and Meghalaya may witness rain throughout the week.

State/Region

Dates

Expected Weather

Assam & Meghalaya

21–24 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura

21–23 Sep

Scattered rainfall, thunderstorms

Northwest India Weather

Some parts of East Uttar Pradesh and East Rajasthan will experience isolated rainfall and thunderstorms. Thunderstorms with lightning are also likely in Uttarakhand and East Rajasthan over the next 4–5 days.

State/Region

Dates

Expected Weather

East Uttar Pradesh & East Rajasthan

21 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Uttarakhand & East Rajasthan

21–24 Sep

Thunderstorms with lightning

South Peninsular India Weather

South India will experience scattered rainfall and thunderstorms, along with strong surface winds in coastal areas.

Region

Dates

Weather Pattern

Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, North Interior Karnataka

21 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Telangana

21–22 Sep

Rainfall and thunderstorms

Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam

24–26 Sep

Rainfall with strong winds

West India Weather

West India will have scattered rain and thunderstorms with isolated heavy showers in Marathawada, Gujarat, Konkan & Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra at different intervals.

Region

Dates

Expected Weather

Marathawada & Gujarat Region

21 Sep

Isolated heavy rainfall

Konkan & Goa

25–26 Sep

Light/moderate rain, isolated heavy showers

Madhya Maharashtra

25–26 Sep

Rainfall expected

 

Delhi/NCR Weather Forecast 

The national capital region will have mainly clear to partly cloudy skies with temperatures slightly above normal. Afternoon winds may pick up to 25 kmph, decreasing at night.

Date

Sky Condition

Max Temp (°C)

Min Temp (°C)

Wind (kmph)

21 Sep

Mainly clear

34–36

23–25

NW 10–25, SW <15 at night

22 Sep

Mainly clear

34–36

24–26

NW 10–25, W <15 at night

23 Sep

Mainly clear

33–35

23–25

NW 20–25, W <15 at night

India is transitioning from the southwest monsoon with northern and western states seeing withdrawal progress. While rainfall and thunderstorms continue in eastern, northeastern, southern, and western regions, Delhi/NCR is expected to remain mostly clear with mild winds and slightly above-normal temperatures. Citizens are advised to stay alert to isolated heavy rainfall and gusty winds in vulnerable regions over the coming days.

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