According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), heavy to very heavy rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning is likely to continue over Northeast India and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim for the next five days.
Rainfall with thunderstorms is also expected to persist across South Peninsular India, with isolated heavy showers over Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu during the next three days. Meanwhile, heatwave conditions are likely to affect parts of West Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar during this period.
Monsoon Watch: Steady Progress Over Southern Seas
The Southwest Monsoon is making steady progress, having already advanced into parts of the southeast Arabian Sea, the Maldives, the Comorin area, and the South Bay of Bengal, including the Andaman Sea.
As of 15th May, the northern limit of the monsoon extends up to the southern Andaman Sea, signalling favourable conditions for further advancement in the next three to four days. The IMD has confirmed that all these regions have officially entered the monsoon phase, marking the beginning of its northward journey across the subcontinent.
Northeast India: Heavy Rainfall and Thunderstorms Likely
The IMD predicts widespread rainfall across the Northeast for the next five days. Thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds are expected across Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura.
|
State |
Rainfall Intensity |
Special Warning |
|
Assam & Meghalaya |
Heavy to very heavy |
Gusty winds (30–50 kmph) |
|
Arunachal Pradesh |
Isolated heavy to very heavy |
Lightning, thunderstorms |
|
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura |
Isolated heavy |
Thunderstorms and gusty winds |
South Peninsular India: Continued Rainfall with Isolated Heavy Showers
Southern states will continue to receive rainfall over the next five days. The presence of a cyclonic circulation over Karnataka and Tamil Nadu is expected to bring thunderstorms and lightning, with heavy rains at isolated places.
|
Region |
Rainfall Duration |
Warnings |
|
Tamil Nadu & Puducherry |
16th–17th |
Isolated heavy rainfall, gusty winds (50–60 kmph) |
|
Karnataka (Interior & Coastal) |
16th–19th |
Heavy rainfall in interiors, squally winds |
|
Andhra Pradesh & Telangana |
16th |
Thunderstorms with gusty winds |
|
Kerala & Mahe |
16th, 18th, 19th |
Heavy rainfall, lightning expected |
North & Central India: Heatwave Warnings and Dust Storm Events
While monsoon winds approach the southern coast, North and Central India are reeling under intense heat. Heatwave conditions have been reported across Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and parts of Madhya Pradesh.
|
Region |
Heatwave Dates |
Other Conditions |
|
West Rajasthan |
16th–19th May |
Dust storms with visibility drop |
|
East & West Uttar Pradesh |
16th–18th May |
Warm nights, strong surface winds |
|
Bihar |
16th May |
Hot & humid, lightning possible |
|
East MP, West MP |
17th–19th May |
Gradual temperature rise (2–3°C) |
A dust storm also affected visibility in Delhi-NCR on the night of 14th May, with winds of 30–40 kmph reported. IGI Airport saw visibility drop to 1200 meters.
East & Central India: Thunderstorms and Isolated Heavy Rainfall Expected
Several states in East and Central India are likely to witness scattered thunderstorms, gusty winds, and occasional heavy showers. These conditions are expected to prevail for the next five days.
|
Region |
Rainfall Type |
Warnings & Alerts |
|
Odisha |
Moderate to heavy |
Gusty winds up to 70 kmph on 16th |
|
Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand |
Thunderstorms |
Gusty winds (30–50 kmph), lightning |
|
West Bengal & Sikkim |
Heavy rainfall |
Sub-Himalayan WB & Sikkim: 16th–19th |
|
Andaman & Nicobar Islands |
Heavy rain |
Thunderstorms and lightning |
Northwest India: Dust, Rain and Thunderstorms Ahead
Dust-laden winds and heat have dominated northwest India, but rain and thundershowers are expected later this week. Isolated rainfall is forecast over parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi-NCR.
|
Region |
Key Dates |
Expected Weather |
|
West Rajasthan |
16th–18th May |
Dust raising winds (25–35 kmph) |
|
Punjab, Haryana, Delhi |
16th–17th May |
Dust storms, reduced visibility |
|
HP, Uttarakhand, J&K |
18th–21st May |
Light to moderate rainfall |
|
East Rajasthan |
17th–18th |
Thunderstorms and light rain |
Maximum Temperatures on the Rise
Several states are likely to witness a rise in maximum temperatures by 2–4°C over the coming days, especially in Gujarat, MP, and northwestern India.
|
Region |
Temperature Trend |
Remarks |
|
Northwest India |
Rise by 2–3°C next 3 days |
Heat stress likely |
|
Gujarat State |
Rise by 2–4°C till 18th May |
High temperatures expected |
|
East India |
Gradual fall after 2 days |
Temporary relief by 17th May |
|
Madhya Pradesh |
Rise till 18th, then stable |
No large change after 4 days |
Delhi-NCR Forecast: Heat with Chances of Thunderstorm
Delhi NCR region will see a mix of hot weather and occasional gusty winds with chances of thunderstorms from 16th to 18th May.
|
Date |
Sky Condition |
Temp (Max/Min °C) |
Wind & Rain Details |
|
16th May |
Cloudy, Light Rain |
40–42 / 25–27 |
Thunderstorm, gusts 50 kmph |
|
17th May |
Cloudy, Light Rain |
39–41 / 25–27 |
Morning thunderstorm, gusts 50 kmph |
|
18th May |
Partly Cloudy |
39–41 / 23–25 |
Normal temps, light winds (15–25 kmph) |
The IMD advises residents in heatwave-affected regions to stay hydrated, avoid outdoor activities during peak afternoon hours, and take necessary precautions against heat-related illnesses. In areas expecting heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, people should stay indoors during lightning activity, avoid waterlogged zones, and follow local advisories. Farmers are also urged to monitor weather updates closely and plan agricultural activities accordingly.
