India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued an alert for a fresh spell of heavy to very heavy rainfall, likely to continue over Central and adjoining Northwest India for the next 4–5 days. Multiple active weather systems are driving intense monsoon activity, bringing widespread showers, thunderstorms, and gusty winds to several regions. Here’s a detailed region-wise forecast.
Rainfall Forecast: Northwest India
The monsoon trough is near its normal position, and a cyclonic circulation over Haryana is aiding in the development of widespread rainfall over the northwestern states. Both the Himalayan and plains regions will experience light to moderate rainfall, with isolated pockets witnessing heavy to very heavy spells.
|
State/Region |
Expected Rainfall (Dates) |
Very Heavy Rainfall Days |
|
East Rajasthan |
July 12–15 |
Yes (July 12–15) |
|
West Rajasthan |
July 12–16 |
No |
|
July 12–17 |
Yes (July 15–16) |
|
|
Himachal Pradesh |
July 12–17 |
No |
|
Jammu & Kashmir |
July 14–17 |
No |
|
West Uttar Pradesh |
July 12–15 |
Yes (July 12) |
|
East Uttar Pradesh |
July 12 & 15 |
No |
|
South Haryana |
July 12 |
No |
East and Central India: Strong Wet Phase with Thunderstorms
A weakening low-pressure system over Jharkhand and strong cyclonic circulations are triggering intense rainfall over East and Central India. Madhya Pradesh and Odisha are particularly at risk of heavy showers. Thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30–40 kmph) will accompany the rainfall.
|
State/Region |
Expected Rainfall Dates |
Very Heavy Rainfall |
|
Madhya Pradesh |
July 12–17 |
Yes (July 12–14) |
|
Chhattisgarh |
July 12–14 |
No |
|
Jharkhand |
July 12–15 |
No |
|
Odisha |
July 12–16 |
No |
|
Bihar |
July 15–16 |
No |
|
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal |
July 13–16 |
No |
|
Gangetic West Bengal |
July 14 |
No |
West India: Heavy Showers for Gujarat, Konkan, and Ghat Areas
The western coastal belt is set to experience moderate to heavy rainfall. The Konkan coast and the Gujarat region will be the primary beneficiaries of monsoonal showers, which may aid in improving reservoir levels. Localised heavy rainfall is expected in the Ghat areas of Maharashtra and parts of Saurashtra.
|
Region |
Expected Rainfall Dates |
Heavy Rainfall Alert |
|
Konkan & Goa |
July 13–15 |
Yes |
|
Gujarat Region |
July 12–17 |
Yes |
|
Madhya Maharashtra (Ghats) |
July 13–14 |
Yes |
|
Saurashtra |
July 13 |
Yes |
Northeast India: Wet Conditions to Persist
Moisture-laden winds from the Bay of Bengal will sustain wet conditions over Northeast India. While most areas will see moderate rain, isolated heavy rainfall is expected in hilly states such as Arunachal Pradesh and Meghalaya.
|
State/Region |
Expected Rainfall Dates |
Heavy Rainfall Likely |
|
Assam & Meghalaya |
July 12–17 |
Yes |
|
Mizoram & Tripura |
July 13–15 |
Yes |
|
Arunachal Pradesh |
July 14–17 |
Yes |
South India: Coastal Showers with Wind Alerts
Southern Peninsular India will remain moderately wet with rainfall mostly concentrated along coastal regions. Kerala and Coastal Karnataka will see daily rainfall activity, while Tamil Nadu and interior Karnataka may receive heavier spells later in the week. Strong surface winds (40–50 kmph) are also expected.
|
Region |
Rainfall Period |
Special Weather Conditions |
|
Coastal Karnataka, Kerala |
July 12–17 |
Isolated Heavy Rainfall Daily |
|
Tamil Nadu, Interior Karnataka |
July 15–17 |
Isolated Heavy Rainfall |
|
Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana |
July 12–17 |
Light to Moderate Rainfall |
|
Lakshadweep |
July 12–17 |
Moderate Rainfall with Winds |
Heat and Humidity Alert: Isolated Pockets Affected
Hot and humid weather conditions will persist in a few areas despite widespread rainfall. These pockets may experience discomfort due to stagnant air and high moisture content.
|
Region |
Dates Affected |
|
East Assam |
July 12 |
|
Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema |
July 12–13 |
|
Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam |
July 12–13 |
Delhi-NCR Weather Forecast: Light Showers with Temperature Relief
Residents in Delhi and the NCR region can expect mostly cloudy skies and light rainfall over the next four days, accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning. Temperatures will hover around or below seasonal norms, offering a brief respite from summer heat.
|
Date |
Sky Conditions |
Rainfall |
Max Temp (°C) |
Min Temp (°C) |
Wind Direction & Speed |
|
July 12 |
Partly Cloudy |
Very Light to Light |
34–36 |
24–26 |
NW (20 → 15 kmph) |
|
July 13 |
Partly Cloudy |
Very Light to Light |
35–37 |
25–27 |
N (15 → 10 kmph), SE (15 kmph) |
|
July 14 |
Partly Cloudy |
Very Light to Light |
32–34 |
23–25 |
SE (18 kmph), E (12 kmph) |
The ongoing monsoon activity is expected to strengthen further, particularly in Central and Northwest India, over the coming days. Authorities and residents in vulnerable areas are advised to stay updated with local alerts and remain cautious during periods of intense rainfall and thunderstorms. Farmers are encouraged to plan their activities in line with the forecast to maximize the benefits of the rainfall.
