Monsoon Withdrawal Begins from Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat; IMD Forecasts Rain in MP, Bihar, Odisha, Northeast, South India

The southwest monsoon is gradually retreating from northern parts of the country, while several weather systems developing over the Bay of Bengal and central India are set to bring scattered rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds across many regions. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), eastern, central, and southern states are likely to see spells of moderate showers with isolated heavy rainfall, even as Delhi-NCR and parts of northwest India remain mostly clear with brief rain chances.

Southwest Monsoon Withdrawal Update

The withdrawal line of the southwest monsoon currently passes through Bhatinda, Fatehabad, Pilani, Ajmer, Deesa, Bhuj, and 23°N/68°E. Conditions are favorable for the monsoon to retreat further from parts of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Haryana, and Punjab, along with sections of Himachal Pradesh and Jammu & Kashmir over the next 3–4 days.

The monsoon’s gradual withdrawal marks the transition towards post-monsoon conditions in the northern plains. Meanwhile, other parts of the country continue to receive isolated rains due to active weather systems.

Active Weather Systems Across India

Several weather systems are influencing India’s weather patterns this week:

• North Andaman Sea & Myanmar Coast: An upper air cyclonic circulation is moving north-northwestwards and is expected to reach the North Bay of Bengal by 22nd September 2025.

• Bay of Bengal: A fresh low-pressure area is likely to form off the Myanmar-Bangladesh coast around 25th September.

• Troughs: East-west and north-south troughs over Uttar Pradesh, Marathwada, and central India are contributing to localized rain and thunderstorms.

• Western Disturbance: A mid-tropospheric trough is active along longitude 70°E north of latitude 31°N, affecting northwest India.

These systems are expected to bring variable rainfall and strong winds across several regions over the next few days.

Rainfall Forecast for East and Central India

East and Central India will experience light to moderate rainfall, with isolated heavy showers over specific states. Thunderstorms accompanied by gusty winds reaching 30–40 kmph are likely over the region.

Northeast India Weather Outlook

The northeastern states will see scattered rainfall and thunderstorms over the next few days, with isolated heavy showers in some areas.

Thunderstorms and gusty winds will also accompany rain over these states, posing moderate disruption locally.

Northwest India: Rain and Wind Alert

Northwest India will witness isolated rainfall, thunderstorms, and strong winds in certain states due to western disturbances and upper-air cyclonic circulations.

South Peninsular India: Isolated Showers and Gusty Winds

South India will see scattered rainfall over several states, with gusty winds likely in coastal areas.

West India: Light Rainfall with Thunderstorms

West India is expected to witness light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy showers in Maharashtra and Marathwada. Thunderstorms and gusty winds are likely in many places.

Delhi/NCR Weather Forecast 

Delhi and the National Capital Region (NCR) will remain mainly clear with isolated light showers. Day temperatures are expected to remain slightly above normal, while night temperatures stay near normal. Winds will generally be mild but may increase during afternoons.

With the monsoon gradually retreating from northern India, most regions will witness decreasing rainfall, while isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue in central, eastern, and southern parts of the country. Residents are advised to monitor local weather updates, especially in areas prone to heavy rainfall and gusty winds.