According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon will begin to leave some regions of northwest India on October 6.
"Conditions are extremely likely to be favourable for the start of withdrawal of southwest monsoon from different regions of northwest India around October 6th 2021," the IMD stated in a tweet.
IMD's weather updates
Conditions remain favourable for the commencement of the withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon from various regions of Northwest India during the next 24 hours.
A cyclonic circulation exists across the Southwest Bay of Bengal and its neighbors, reaching up to the middle tropospheric levels and leaning southward with height. In the lower tropospheric levels, an easterly trough flows from the upper cyclonic circulation to south Kerala.
Under the influence of these systems, isolated heavy rains are very likely over Tamil Nadu and Kerala on the 5th and 6th of October, as well as over Karnataka on the 5th & 07th of October, 2021. Isolated very heavy rains are also possible over South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala on October 5th, and over Coastal Karnataka on October 6th, 2021.
A cyclonic circulation stretches up to 4.5 km above mean sea level over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and its surroundings. Under its impact, isolated heavy to very heavy rains are expected to occur over south Assam and Tripura during the next 24 hours.
Weather in India this week
Check out this week's weather report;
06th October:
Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in isolated locations across Coastal Karnataka, as well as heavy rainfall in Madhya Maharashtra, the south Konkan and Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Interior Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe, and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal.
Thunderstorms with lightning are very likely over Bihar, Odisha, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Assam and Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal & Lakshadweep.
07th October:
Heavy rain is expected in isolated locations over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, and Karnataka.
Thunderstorms with lightning are expected in isolated locations over Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Rayalseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal, Kerala and Mahe and Lakshadweep.
08th October:
Heavy rain is expected in isolated areas over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, and Marathwada.
Thunderstorms and lightning are expected in isolated locations over Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Kerala, Mahe, and Lakshadweep.
Squally weather (wind speeds of 40-50 kph) is expected over the Gulf of Mannar. Fishermen are warned not to venture into these regions.
09th October:
Heavy rain is expected in isolated locations over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe.