Windy's weather forecast model predicts that Cyclone Mocha will form by May 11. International Meteorologist Jason Nichols, on the other side, predicts a storm in the second week of May. By the end of this week or early next week, a low pressure area could form over the South Bay of Bengal.
According to Jason Nicholls, there is a good chance that the low pressure will produce a cyclonic cyclone. The cyclone is expected to cause damage from East India to Bangladesh and Myanmar. Meteorologists are closely monitoring the fluctuations in low pressure.
Meanwhile, the Indian Meteorological Department has not indicated the formation of a cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. The IMD predicts that a low pressure region will form in the first week of May. By May 5, a low pressure area is expected to form over the South Bay of Bengal.
It could worsen into depression. However, there is no clear indication of whether or not it will develop into a cyclone. It will be obvious whether or not a cyclone will form after the formation of a low pressure region. According to IMD DG Muthananjaya Mohapatra, this low pressure area will have little effect on Odisha.
The potential cyclone in the Bay of Bengal has been christened 'Mocha' by Yemen. On May 8, 2016, the storm Asani formed in the Bay of Bengal. It was initially forecast to hit the coast of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha. Later, the storm shifted course and entered a deep depression. It sailed along the coast of Andhra Pradesh.
For the time being, it is impossible to determine if a cyclone will form in the Bay of Bengal or whether it will cause an outbreak.